The Houston Open makes its debut on the fall portion of the PGA TOUR schedule this year. Since 2003 The Houston Open has been played the week before The Masters. No longer the case, this event will stay in the fall for the foreseeable future. This will also be the final edition played at The Golf Club of Houston. After a 13-year run the venue will move to Memorial Park Golf Club for the 2020 tournament.

Henrik Stenson is the highest ranked player in the field at 37th in the OWGR. The new spot on the schedule has really damaged the quality of this field.

The Golf Club of Houston is a par 72 stretching to more 7,400 yards. As always, a par 72 means four par 5s for the fellas to feast on so Par 5 Scoring is crucial. The Houston Open played 10th easiest on last season’s schedule so plenty of birdies or better out there. One more change, the greens are now Bermuda, so we will value Strokes Gained: Putting this week.

Until further notice or any special requests we will continue with one post for daily fantasy golf advice. When referring to player salary, the first dollar amount is DraftKings and the second is FanDuel.

***All statistics referenced are as of the end of the 2018-2019 season for both The PGA TOUR and The Korn Ferry Tour.

Key Statistics

These statistics are key to success at The Golf Club of Houston

  • Strokes Gained: Approach The Green (SGAPG)
  • Strokes Gained: Putting (SGP)
  • Par 5 Scoring Average (Par 5 Sco)
  • Birdie or Better Percentage (Bir or Bet)

Horses For The Course

  • Henrik Stenson ($11,400/$11,900) – Besides being the top ranked player in the field, Stenson has a rich history at The Golf Club of Houston. He’s made six of seven cuts including a pair of runner-up finishes, a T3 and a T6. Has six top 20s in his last seven worldwide starts and ranked 1st in SGAPG last season.
  • Russell Henley ($10,100/$10,500) – The 2017 champ has five top 10s in this event and is riding a streak of five top 8s or better here. He is also 3rd in all-time winnings in Houston with a scoring average of 69.08.
  • Keegan Bradley ($9,000/$9,800) – Staple in Houston since his rookie season in 2011. Has never shot higher than 70 in the first round and has posted a pair of top 5s, a T10 and a T15 among his seven cuts made.

Top Tier Picks

  • Brian Harman ($10,600/$10,900) – Has proven that he can compete with the bombers on a longer track which is my only concern surrounding him in this event. Comes in of six top 20s in his last 10 starts. Off to a good start this season, 3-3 cuts made and averaging 98.3 fantasy points per game in DraftKings.
  • Daniel Berger ($10,400/$11,000) – Berger made it past the deadline of his medical extension with a solid T18 at Shriner’s last week. Solid history in Houston with T25-T5-5th-T18 since 2015. Good history against weak fields like this week. Past winner that is trending.
  • Denny McCarthy ($9,500/$10,400) – Maybe a little pricey but love his form and trend. Six top 25s in his last 10 starts. Ranked 1st in SGP and that trend is continuing along with much better ball striking. Solid T9 in Vegas last week. Also ranked 10th in Par 5 Sco and 13th in Bir or Bet.

Other Options: Scottie Scheffler ($9,900/$10,800), Sebastian Munoz ($9,400/$10,200), Harris English ($8,900/$9,900)

Mid Tier Picks

  • Cameron Tringale ($8,700/$9,600) – Posted three top 10s and a T16 in Houston from 2012-2015. He’s flashing good form in the fall. Ranked 29th in Bir or Bet. Has six top 25s in the last five months so he’s another player that is certainly trending.
  • Bud Cauley ($8,600/$9,700) – Sticking with the “trending” theme here. Cauley three top 25s in his last six starts. Solid record in Houston in his four starts. He’s got three top 20s with a scoring average of 69.86. Seems to be well over th hump after his car accident and poised to contend.
  • Lanto Griffin ($8,000/$9,500) – Much better value play in DraftKings. Has posted four top 20s in his last four events on TOUR and is th only player to do such. Incredibly solid for the Korn Ferry grad. Ranked 4th, 5th and 6th respectively in Putting Average, Par 5 Sco and Par Breakers on the KFT last season.

Other Options: Luke List ($8,500/$9,700), Bronson Burgoon ($8,400/$9,400), Xinjun Zhang ($8,000/$8,900)

Value Tier Picks

  • Brian Gay ($7,600/$9,100) – Trending, imagine that. Started season with T65-T23-T7, that is a super trender right there. Always one of the best putters in the field and is 3-3 in cuts made in Houston. Tough to pass up his value.
  • Mark Hubbard ($7,100/$8,700) – Having a really solid fall going 3-4 in made cuts. Positioning himself well for the reshuffle. Not that long off the tee but very consistent everywhere else. Has gained strokes on the field in SGAPG in all events except Sanderson which was is one missed cut.
  • Jason Dufner ($7,000/$8,700) – A little bit of an emotion pick here. It’s hard to believe that in this weak of a field he’s priced this low. Yeah, his putter is an abomination but he’s a better ball striker than most of this field. Finished T12 in Houston last season.

Other Options: Richy Werenski ($7,700/$9,000), Brendan Steele($7,400/$8,900), Robert Streb ($7,000/$8,400)

Super Sleepers

These aren’t just value picks, these are guys that could make a run and finish high on the leader board.

  • Pat Perez ($9,700/$10,600)
  • Beau Hossler ($8,300/$9,600)
  • Robby Shelton ($7,900/$9,300)
  • Nick Watney ($7,800/$9,200)

The Golf Geek’s Picks

DraftKings

FanDuel

Every week you can visit here and get daily fantasy golf advice. I will also share my lineups for each week. Follow along or as always, throw comment below on your picks, teams, advice or strategy.

The Doctor Is Out…

Doc Mulligan

docmulligan@mygolfgeek.com

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